As we test more people for Covid-19 we are currently finding more positives (both real and false) and this is being automatically translated by the government and media into a reason in itself to control and limit our behaviour, schooling and economy. But what is this information that they are using actually telling us?
For example if I test 500 randomly selected people for a viral skin infection, I may find that 75 people are infected. Then if I repeat this test the following day on another sample, this time containing 1000 people and find that a further 135 cases test positive - I would be wrong if I then claimed that: “THE NUMBER OF VIRAL SKIN INFECTIONS HAS ALMOST DOUBLED IN ONE DAY,” that would be incorrect - as the ratio of viral skin infections has not in fact doubled, but remains roughly the same as it was before - IT IS THE NUMBER OF POSITIVE TESTS THAT HAS DOUBLED - BECAUSE DOUBLE THE NUMBER OF PEOPLE HAVE NOW BEEN TESTED! So actual case numbers may tell us little, when they are reported in isolation from other significant information.
One fact that is unquestionable, is that as more people are being tested for Covid-19, more cases will be isolated. Therefore, it is often claimed that the number of subsequent deaths is increasing. When one reads that: “another 479 people have died WITH coronavirus in UK hospitals, hitting an eight-month high, as a new mutant strain rips through parts of the country.” This number doesn’t necessarily come close to telling us the number of people who have actually died directly BECAUSE of Covid-19, it just means that the number of people being tested has increased and if any of these patients happen to have received a positive test result 28 days or less before death, they are deemed to have died WITH IT. As we all know, dying WITH something, is not at all the same thing as dying BECAUSE of something, in fact the two can indeed be mutually exclusive. You can die with a bruised finger, but that does not mean that this was in anyway, shape or form the actual cause of your death. It is important to also acknowledge that if someone actually dies BECAUSE of a Covid-19 infection, they may have already been at the very end of their life and it unfortunately happened to be the straw that broke the camel’s back. All this said, we do realise that
Covid-19 has sadly taken people in various age groups, that have been previously deemed completely fit and healthy. It is most important to acknowledge this relevant factor.
Test and you will find ........ but the more cases you find, doesn’t automatically translate to more deaths or serious illnesses. According to 'Population UK' the overall population in the UK has increased by approximately 0.63% since the emergence Covid-19. There are now more people living than there were at the start 2020! Which when compared to an estimated population drop of 40%-60% during The Black Death, can only be seen to be encouraging!
However to date unfortunately you are still much more likely to die or become dangerously ill BECAUSE of non-communicable diseases - (those that are not transmitted between people) - than you are of Covid-19*. So perhaps we should be paying more attention to preventing physical, mental and economic malaise, instead of unremittingly indulging in seemingly endless “covidcentricity.” There is scant evidence that by imposing lockdowns on society, we will properly address these other more pressing issues. Finally, a salient point is that those who are in charge and deciding and enforcing when lockdowns should be imposed, are still being paid in full during these lockdowns. This is certainly not the case for everyone in the workforce!
*https://www.worldatlas.com/articles/top-ten-leading-causes-of-death-in-the-world.html
*www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/the-top-10-causes-of-death
For example if I test 500 randomly selected people for a viral skin infection, I may find that 75 people are infected. Then if I repeat this test the following day on another sample, this time containing 1000 people and find that a further 135 cases test positive - I would be wrong if I then claimed that: “THE NUMBER OF VIRAL SKIN INFECTIONS HAS ALMOST DOUBLED IN ONE DAY,” that would be incorrect - as the ratio of viral skin infections has not in fact doubled, but remains roughly the same as it was before - IT IS THE NUMBER OF POSITIVE TESTS THAT HAS DOUBLED - BECAUSE DOUBLE THE NUMBER OF PEOPLE HAVE NOW BEEN TESTED! So actual case numbers may tell us little, when they are reported in isolation from other significant information.
One fact that is unquestionable, is that as more people are being tested for Covid-19, more cases will be isolated. Therefore, it is often claimed that the number of subsequent deaths is increasing. When one reads that: “another 479 people have died WITH coronavirus in UK hospitals, hitting an eight-month high, as a new mutant strain rips through parts of the country.” This number doesn’t necessarily come close to telling us the number of people who have actually died directly BECAUSE of Covid-19, it just means that the number of people being tested has increased and if any of these patients happen to have received a positive test result 28 days or less before death, they are deemed to have died WITH IT. As we all know, dying WITH something, is not at all the same thing as dying BECAUSE of something, in fact the two can indeed be mutually exclusive. You can die with a bruised finger, but that does not mean that this was in anyway, shape or form the actual cause of your death. It is important to also acknowledge that if someone actually dies BECAUSE of a Covid-19 infection, they may have already been at the very end of their life and it unfortunately happened to be the straw that broke the camel’s back. All this said, we do realise that
Covid-19 has sadly taken people in various age groups, that have been previously deemed completely fit and healthy. It is most important to acknowledge this relevant factor.
Test and you will find ........ but the more cases you find, doesn’t automatically translate to more deaths or serious illnesses. According to 'Population UK' the overall population in the UK has increased by approximately 0.63% since the emergence Covid-19. There are now more people living than there were at the start 2020! Which when compared to an estimated population drop of 40%-60% during The Black Death, can only be seen to be encouraging!
However to date unfortunately you are still much more likely to die or become dangerously ill BECAUSE of non-communicable diseases - (those that are not transmitted between people) - than you are of Covid-19*. So perhaps we should be paying more attention to preventing physical, mental and economic malaise, instead of unremittingly indulging in seemingly endless “covidcentricity.” There is scant evidence that by imposing lockdowns on society, we will properly address these other more pressing issues. Finally, a salient point is that those who are in charge and deciding and enforcing when lockdowns should be imposed, are still being paid in full during these lockdowns. This is certainly not the case for everyone in the workforce!
*https://www.worldatlas.com/articles/top-ten-leading-causes-of-death-in-the-world.html
*www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/the-top-10-causes-of-death
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